General Article Estimates suggest population growth rate to peak at 8.6 billion

Topic Selected: Population Book Volume: 435

A new projection of the population growth rate highlights that the world’s population could peak at 8.5 billion people by 2050, and decline to 7 billion in 2100

While significantly lower than several prominent population estimates, including those of the United Nations, researchers from the Earth4All initiative for the Global Challenges Foundation used a new system dynamics model to understand the population growth rate.

Exploring two scenarios this century, researchers entail that investment into economic development, education, and health could help the global population growth rate to peak at 8.5 billion people by 2050.

Some argue that this decline in population size would be beneficial, as larger population sizes lead to greater consumption of non-renewable resources, leading to a faster depletion of natural resources, as well as greater pollution levels in air, water and land.

However, researchers suggest new models which counteract this belief.

Investment in poverty alleviatio...

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