General Article World Population Prospects 2022: summary of results

Topic Selected: Population Book Volume: 435

Ten key messages

1. The world’s population continues to grow, but the pace of growth is slowing down.

In 2020, the growth rate of the global population fell under 1 per cent per year for the first time since 1950. The latest projections by the United Nations suggest that the world’s population could grow to around 8.5 billion in 2030 and 9.7 billion in 2050; it is projected to reach a peak of around 10.4 billion people during the 2080s and to remain at that level until 2100. The world’s population is projected to reach 8 billion on 15 November 2022, and India is projected to surpass China as the world’s most populous country in 2023.

2. Policies aimed at reducing fertility would have little immediate impact on the pace of global growth.

Two-thirds of the projected increase in global population through 2050 will be driven by the momentum of past growth that is embedded in the youthful age structure of the current population. For this reason, further actions by Governments aimed at r...

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